India has emerged as the fourth largest gold recycling
country in 2021, recycling 75 tons, or 6.5 per cent of the total gold recycled
across the globe, said a report by the World Council (WGC). Over the past five
years, 11 per cent of India's gold supply came from 'old gold'; driven by
movements in the gold price, future gold price expectations and a wider
economic outlook. It is driven by
price movements of the yellow metal - current and future expectations, and the
economic backdrop.
When the gold price jumps people tend to sell their gold
holdings either to gain from the price rise or to avoid spending on new gold
jewelry. The reperch Focus found that the percentage of consumers
exchanging old jewelry increases when price rises, and when the
economy is under stress – as we saw during Covid-19 – gold is sold to meet
everyday needs.
In the short run, a 1 per cent increase in the price of gold
pushes recycling up by 0.6 per cent. Conversely, positive GDP growth in the
same year and the previous was down by 0.3 per cent and 0.6 per cent,
respectively. In addition, a 1 per cent increase in jewelry demand pushes
recycling down by 0.1 per cent.
Over the years, India's organized gold refining capacity,
too, has seen a significant jump - from barely 300 tons in 2013 to
around 1,800 tons in 2021.
India, according to Somasundaram PR, Regional CEO, India,
WGC has the potential to emerge as a competitive refining hub if the next phase
of bullion market reforms promotes responsible sourcing, exports of bars and
consistent supply of scrap
Domestic recycling market driven by economic cycle and by local rupee prices is less organized but can be attractive to surplus gold and liquidity with support from Gold Monetization Scheme(GMS). Higher income following economic growth will reduce outright selling and consumers find it easier to pledge than selling it. It is therefore necessary to support organized recycling with better incentives and tech-based solutions encompassing the gold supply chain end-to-end.
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